ELEMENTS OF THE SYSTEM DYNAMICS METHOD

Contents:

Part I: Paradigm

System Dynamics and Scientific Method

The unavoidable a priori

Part II: Applied Principles

How Differences in Analytic Paradigms Can Lead to Differences in policy Conclusions

The Multiplier-Accelerator Model of Business Cycles Interpreted from a System Dynamics Perspective

Stock and Flow Variables and the Dynamics of Supply and Demand

Part III: Conceptualization

Guidelines for Model Conceptualization

Part IV: Formulation

Parameter Estimation in System Dynamics Modeling

Estimating Lengths and Orders of Delays in System Dynamics Models

Part V: Testing

Sensitivity Analysis in System Dynamics

Alternative Tests for Selecting Model Variables

Statistical Tools for System Dynamics

Part VI: Implementation

Managerial Sketches of the Steps

The Evolution of an Approach for Achieving Implemented Results from System Dynamics Projects

A Modeling Procedure for Public